Uncertainty of cash flows
Article 30
The cash flow projection used in the calculation of the best estimate shall, explicitly or implicitly, take account of all uncertainties in the cash flows, including all of the following characteristics: (a) uncertainty in the timing, frequency and severity of insured events; (b) uncertainty in claim amounts, including uncertainty in claims inflation, and in the period needed to settle and pay claims; (c) uncertainty in the amount of expenses referred to in point (1) of Article 78 of Directive 2009/138/EC; (d) uncertainty in expected future developments referred to in Article 29 to the extent that it is practicable; (e) uncertainty in policyholder behaviour; (f) dependency between two or more causes of uncertainty; (g) dependency of cash flows on circumstances prior to the date of the cash flow.