ANNEX II
COMMON POLLINATOR INDICATOR
1. General rules
(1)
The common pollinator indicator to be calculated for each Member State shall be based on the data collected pursuant to Articles 5 and 6. It shall only take into consideration recordings of specimens identified to the species level pursuant to Article 8. It shall not take into consideration alien species.
(2)
The common pollinator indicator shall combine the measurements of the trends in abundance and diversity of common target species. Those trends shall be calculated for each assessment period and for each taxonomic group referred to in Article 2 based on the annual species abundance indices and the annual species diversity indices established in accordance with Sections 2 and 3.
2. Annual species abundance indices
(1)
A species-specific abundance index shall be calculated annually for each species observed in a Member State based on the methodology for a generalised abundance index described by Dennis et al. (2016) ( 1 ) .
(2)
The species-specific abundance index referred to in paragraph (1) shall take into account only species that have been observed in a Member State at least 25 times per year on average over the assessment period.
(3)
The methodology for a generalised abundance index may be enhanced by taking into account the conditions recorded pursuant to Article 5(6), points (a) to (f) for the species referred to in Article 5(1), and pursuant to Article 6(5), points (a) to (f) for night-active moths.
(4)
A multi-species abundance index shall be calculated annually for each taxonomic group using the annual species-specific indices referred to in paragraph (1), based on the methodology described by Freeman et al. (2021) ( 2 ) .
3. Annual species diversity indices
(1)
A site-specific species diversity index shall be calculated annually for each monitoring site and each taxonomic group using the Shannon-Wiener Diversity Index ( 3 ) methodology.
(2)
A species diversity index shall be calculated annually for each taxonomic group using all annual site-specific species diversity indices referred to in paragraph (1), using the methodology described by Freeman et al. (2021).
4. Trends in species abundance and in species diversity
(1)
The methodology described by Freeman et al. (2021) shall provide the trends in the species abundance based on the multi-species abundance indices referred to in Section 2, paragraph (4), and shall provide the trends in the species diversity based on the species diversity indices referred to in Section 3, paragraph (2) over each assessment period.
(2)
For the first assessment period, the method referred to in paragraph (1) shall be constrained to fit a straight line across the annual values of the multi-species abundance indices and the species diversity indices.
(3)
For the assessment periods after 2030, smoothed trends shall be calculated, with the smoothness of the trends being determined using the approach described by Massimino et al. (2025) ( 4 ) .
5. Calculation of the common pollinator indicator
(1)
For each assessment period, the probability of a positive trend shall be determined separately for the trends in species abundance and the trends in species diversity for each taxonomic group. Those probabilities shall be converted into an odds ratio.
(2)
The product of all odds ratios referred to in paragraph (1) shall be calculated.
(3)
The product of all odds ratios referred to in paragraph (2) shall be converted back to a combined probability that both species abundance and species diversity are increasing across all taxonomic groups. That combined probability shall constitute the common pollinator indicator, which shall be provided with a 90 % confidence interval.
( 1 ) Dennis, E.B., Morgan, B.J.T., Freeman, S.N., Brereton, T.M. and Roy, D.B. (2016), A Generalized Abundance Index for Seasonal Invertebrates. Biometrics 72: 1305-1314 ( https://doi.org/10.1111/biom.12506 ).
( 2 ) Freeman, S.N., Isaac, N.J.B., Besbeas, P., Dennis, E.B. and Morgan, B.J.T. (2021), A Generic Method for Estimating and Smoothing Multispecies Biodiversity Indicators Using Intermittent Data. JABES 26: 71–89 ( https://doi.org/10.1007/s13253-020-00410-6 ).
( 3 ) Allaby, M. (2020) A Dictionary of Zoology (5 ed.). Oxford University Press, Oxford (doi: 10.1093/acref/9780198845089.001.0001 ).
( 4 ) Massimino, D., Baillie, S.R., Balmer, D.E., Bashford, R.I., Gregory, R.D., Harris, S.J., Heywood, J.J.N., Kelly, L.A., Noble, D.G., Pearce-Higgins, J.W., Raven, M.J., Risely, K., Woodcock, P., Wotton, S.R. and Gillings, S. (2025), The Breeding Bird Survey of the United Kingdom. Global Ecology and Biogeography 34: e13943 ( https://doi.org/10.1111/geb.13943 ).